December 3, 2020

The NFL’s Week 4 Overreaction Index

(Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports)

The Philadelphia Eagles limped into Sunday Night Football to take on the San Francisco 49ers. Their offense was battered by injuries, their quarterback was facing criticism on sport talk radio, and with a 0-2-1 record they were in third place in the division.

They left the West Coast with their first win, and in sole possession of first place in the NFC East.

That speaks to how downright woeful the NFC East has been this season. The four teams have combined to date on a 3-12-1 record, and have allowed a combined 461 points. Washington and New York have scored 79 and 47 points respectively, making them the two lowest scoring offenses in the NFC. If it were not for the New York Jets and their 65 points, these two NFC East teams would be the two worst scoring offenses in the league.

And yes, it is early, but if the draft were to happen right now?

Yes, three of the four teams would be picking in the top six.

We’ve seen enough. This is the worst division in football history, right?

Verdict: Medium level of overreaction.

This division might get there, but with a lot of football left to be played, it is hard to declare right now that the 2020 NFC East is worse than say the 2010 NFC West, won by the Seattle Seahawks with a 7-9 record, or the 2014 NFC South, won by the Carolina Panthers with a 7-8-1 record. Also, over the next few weeks these teams are going to start playing each other. For example, over the next few weeks Washington faces the Los Angeles Rams, and then the Giants, the Cowboys, a bye week, and the Giants again. Over their next six games the Giants face Dallas, Washington, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Washington and Philadelphia again.

Someone has to win these games, right?

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